Arctic Drift Part 23

"I'll pa.s.s that along. Give my best to Maggie, and let's plan on going sailing again soon."

"I'd like that. Take care, Jim."

A White House aide pressed Sandecker on to the Oval Office, guiding him through the northwest entrance. Seated around a coffee table, Sandecker recognized the President's chief of staff, his National Security Advisor, and the Secretary of Defense. The President stood at a side cubby, pouring himself a cup of coffee from an antique silver pot.

"Can I get you a cup, Jim?" Ward asked. The President still had dark circles under his eyes but appeared more energized than during Sandecker's last visit.

"Sure, Garner. Make it black."

The other administration officials looked aghast at Sandecker for calling the President by his first name, but he didn't care. And neither did Ward. The President handed Sandecker his coffee, then sat down in a gold wingback chair.

"You missed all the fireworks, Jim," the President said. "The Canadian Amba.s.sador just gave me holy blazes about those two incidents in the Arctic."

Sandecker nodded. "I just pa.s.sed him in the hall. They seem to be taking it quite seriously."

"The Canadians are upset about our proposed plan to divert freshwater from the Great Lakes to replenish the Midwest farming aquifers," said Chief of Staff Meade. "Plus it is no secret that the Prime Minister's poll numbers are way down ahead of a call for parliamentary elections this fall."

"We have reason to believe there is also an effort to keep our petroleum companies out of the Canadian Arctic," added the National Security Advisor, a short-haired blond woman named Moss. "The Canadians have been very protective about their Arctic oil and gas resources, which continue to grow in significance."

"Given our current situation, it is hardly an opportune time for them to turn their backs on us," said Meade.

"You mean it's not an opportune time for us," noted Sandecker.

"You have a point, Jim," the President replied. "The Canadians certainly have a few strong cards in their hand at the moment."

"Which they are already starting to play," said Moss. "The Amba.s.sador gave notice that Prime Minister Barrett intends to announce a full prohibition on U.S.-flagged vessels crossing into Canadian Arctic seaways. Any violation will be deemed a trespa.s.s on territorial waters and subject to military reprisal."

"The Prime Minister is not one for subtlety," the President remarked.

"He went so far as to have the Amba.s.sador drop the hint that reductions in oil, natural gas, and hydroelectric power exports to the U.S. are on the table," Meade said, speaking to Sandecker.

"That is playing hardball," Sandecker said. "We currently obtain ninety percent of our natural gas imports from Canada alone. And I know you are counting on the new infusion from Melville Sound to solve our immediate energy problems," he added, addressing the President.

"We can't afford to jeopardize those gas imports," the President said. "They are critical to overcoming this oil crisis and stabilizing the economy."

"The Prime Minister's actions boost the Canadian sovereignty rhetoric he has been touting recently to reverse his waning popularity," noted Moss. "He seized on the commercial possibilities of an ice-free Northwest Pa.s.sage some years ago and has strongly argued Canada's ownership claims. It fits in nicely with his newfound appeal to the country's traditionalists."

"There's a good deal of power to be had in those Arctic resources," Meade noted.

"The Russians are clamoring over the same thing," Sandecker said. "The U.N. Law of the Sea Treaty opened the door for additional Arctic empire building based on the undersea extensions of existing territorial claims. We in fact have joined the same subsurface land rush as the Canadians, Russians, Danes, and Norwegians."

"That is true," Moss replied. "But our potential claims don't really impose much into Canadian waters. It's the pa.s.sage that is creating all the hysteria. Perhaps because it is the key to accessing and transporting all those Arctic resources."

"It seems to me that the Canadians have a pretty sound legal basis for calling the pa.s.sage part of their internal waters," the President said.

The Secretary of Defense bristled. An ex-Navy man like Sandecker, he had managed one of the major oil companies before returning to public service.

"Mr. President," he said in a deep voice, "it has always been the position of the U.S. that the Northwest Pa.s.sage const.i.tutes an international strait. The Law of the Sea Convention, I might add, also calls for the right of transit pa.s.sage through waterways deemed international straits."

"a.s.suming we are on friendly terms with Canada, why do we care if they claim the strait as territorial waters?" asked the President.

"Doing so would undermine the precedents already set in the Strait of Malacca, Gibraltar, and Bab el-Mandeb in the Red Sea," Moss recited. "Those waterways are open to commercial ships of all nations, not to mention free pa.s.sage by our own Navy ships."

"Not to mention the Bosporus and Dardanelles," Sandecker added.

"Indeed," replied Moss. "If we were to treat the Northwest Pa.s.sage in a different light, that could offer legal encouragement for the Malaysians to direct traffic through the Malacca, for example. It's just too risky a proposition."

"Don't forget our submarine fleet," Sandecker added. "We can't very well walk away from the Arctic area of operations."

"Jim's absolutely right," said the Secretary of Defense. "We're still playing tag with the occasional Russian Delta up there, and now we have the Chinese fleet to worry about. They've just tested a new cla.s.s of sub-launched ballistic missile with a range of five thousand miles. It only makes sense that they'll follow the tack of the Russians by hiding their subs under the ice, in order to preserve a first-launch capability. Mr. President, the Arctic will remain a critical mission area for purposes of our national defense. We can't afford to be shut out of the seaways that are within spitting distance of our own borders."

The President quietly strolled over to the east window and gazed out at the Rose Garden. "I suppose there is no walking away. But there is also no need to fan the flames of distrust. Let's voluntarily abide by the ban for ninety days. I want no American-flagged vessels, including submarines, even to encroach on Canadian Arctic waters during that period. That should give everyone time to cool their heels. Then I'll have State work up a meeting with Prime Minister Barrett, and we'll try to reintroduce some sanity back into the equation."

"An excellent suggestion," Meade demurred. "I'll put a call in to the Secretary of State right away."

"Mr. President, there is one other thing," the Secretary of Defense stated. "I'd like to war-plan a few counterstrike scenarios, should events dictate."

"Good G.o.d," the President thundered. "We're talking about Canada here."

The room fell silent while Garner glared at the Secretary of Defense. "Do what you have to do. If I know you, you probably already have a full-blown invasion plan all worked out."

The Secretary of Defense sat stone-faced, unwilling to deny the President's accusation.

"Seems to me we should be focusing our resources on investigating who's roughing up the Canadians and why," injected Sandecker. "What exactly do we know about the two incidents in question?"

"Very little, I'm afraid, since they both occurred in remote areas," replied Moss. "The first incident involved a commercial vessel flying the American flag that rammed a Canadian Coast Guard cutter. All we know from the Canadians is that the vessel was a small containership carrying the name Atlanta. The Canadians thought they would nab her farther into the pa.s.sage, near Somerset Island, but the ship never materialized. They believe she may have sunk, but our a.n.a.lysts believe it is possible she could have backtracked to the Atlantic without being seen. The marine registries show a dozen ships named Atlanta, although only one is of comparable size and configuration. It is sitting in a dry dock in Mobile, Alabama, where it has been parked for the last three weeks."

"Perhaps the Canadians were right, and she sank from her own damage caused by the ramming incident," the President said. "Otherwise, we have to a.s.sume it's a case of mistaken ident.i.ty."

"Odd that they would aim to run the pa.s.sage and then disappear," Sandecker noted. "What about the Beaufort Sea ice camp? I've been told that we had no vessels anywhere near the area."

"That is correct," Moss replied. "All three of the ice camp survivors claim they saw a gray warship flying American colors burst through the camp. One of the men identified the ship as carrying the number 54. As it happens, FFG-54 is currently on station in the Beaufort Sea."

"One of our frigates?"

"Yes, the Ford, out of Everett, Washington. She was supporting a submarine exercise off Point Barrow at the time of the incident, but that was over three hundred miles away. Aside from that, the Ford is not ice-rated, so she would have had no business plowing through the thick sea ice that supported the camp."

"Another case of mistaken ident.i.ty?" the President asked.

"n.o.body knows for sure. There's just not much in the way of traffic in that area, and there was a heavy storm at the time that obscured things."

"What about satellite imagery?" Sandecker asked.

Moss flipped through a folder, then pulled out a report.

"Satellite coverage in that region is pretty sporadic, for obvious reasons. Unfortunately, we don't have any imagery available within twelve hours of the incident."

"Do we know for sure it wasn't the Ford? Could they have made a mistake?" the President probed.